First-authored, refereed papers of Nicola Scafetta

A list of first-authored, refereed publications of Nicola Scafetta, derived from the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS). The number in brackets after each title indicates the number of citations that the paper has received.

Orcid ID: 0000-0003-0967-1911

List of publications ordered by citations
Number of papers: 77
No. of citations: 2111

2026

1. Detection, attribution, and modeling of climate change: Key open issues [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Gondwana Research, 152, 92
2. Rainwater accumulation model related to tectono-stratigraphic assessment for bradyseism at Campi Flegrei, Italy [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Lima, Annamaria, Milia, Alfonsa, Spera, Frank, Bodnar, Robert J., Vivo, Benedetto De & Daniele, Linda, Geoscience Frontiers, 17, 102256

2025

1. Spectral Structure of the Solar Inertial Motion from 12999 BC to 16998 AD [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Milani, Franco, Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific, 137, 054402

2024

1. Impacts and risks of "realistic" global warming projections for the 21st century [47]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geoscience Frontiers, 15, 101774

2023

1. Comment on "Tidally Synchronized Solar Dynamo: A Rebuttal" by Nataf (Solar Phys. 297, 107, 2022) [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Solar Physics, 298, 24
2. Reply to "Comment on `Advanced Testing of Low, Medium, and High ECS CMIP6 GCM Simulations Versus ERA5-T2m' by N. Scafetta (2022)" by Schmidt et al. (2023) [1]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL104960
3. Empirical assessment of the role of the Sun in climate change using balanced multi-proxy solar records [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geoscience Frontiers, 14, 101650
4. Overview of the Spectral Coherence between Planetary Resonances and Solar and Climate Oscillations [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Bianchini, Antonio, Climate, 11, 77
5. CMIP6 GCM ensemble members versus global surface temperatures [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate Dynamics, 60, 3091
6. CMIP6 GCM Validation Based on ECS and TCR Ranking for 21st Century Temperature Projections and Risk Assessment [21]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Atmosphere, 14, 345

2022

1. Advanced Testing of Low, Medium, and High ECS CMIP6 GCM Simulations Versus ERA5-T2m [41]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e97716
2. The Planetary Theory of Solar Activity Variability: A Review [26]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Bianchini, Antonio, Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 9, 937930

2021

1. On the Rainfall Triggering of Phlegraean Fields Volcanic Tremors [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Water, 13, 154
2. Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980-1990 to 2011-2021: High ECS Is Not Supported [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate, 09, 161
3. Testing the CMIP6 GCM Simulations versus Surface Temperature Records from 1980-1990 to 2011-2021: High ECS Is Not Supported [22]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate, 9, 161
4. Detection of non-climatic biases in land surface temperature records by comparing climatic data and their model simulations [22]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Climate Dynamics, 56, 2959
5. Reconstruction of the Interannual to Millennial Scale Patterns of the Global Surface Temperature [19]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Atmosphere, 12, 147

2020

1. Solar Oscillations and the Orbital Invariant Inequalities of the Solar System [27]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Solar Physics, 295, 33
2. Distribution of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic and Its Monthly Forecast Based on Seasonal Climate Patterns [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola, International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17, 3493
3. A 60-Year Cycle in the Meteorite Fall Frequency Suggests a Possible Interplanetary Dust Forcing of the Earth's Climate Driven by Planetary Oscillations [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco & Bianchini, Antonio, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, e89954
4. Multiscale Analysis of the Instantaneous Eccentricity Oscillations of the Planets of the Solar System from 13 000 BC to 17 000 AD [7]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco & Bianchini, Antonio, Astronomy Letters, 45, 778

2019

1. Modeling Quiet Solar Luminosity Variability from TSI Satellite Measurements and Proxy Models during 1980-2018 [19]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Willson, Richard C., Lee, Jae N. & Wu, Dong L., Remote Sensing, 11, 2569
2. Detection of UHI bias in China climate network using Tmin and Tmax surface temperature divergence [13]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Ouyang, Shenghui, Global and Planetary Change, 181, 102989

2018

1. Cultural noise and the night-day asymmetry of the seismic activity recorded at the Bunker-East (BKE) Vesuvian Station [4]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 349, 117
2. Reply on Comment on "High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations" by S. Holm [6]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Advances in Space Research, 62, 334

2016

1. On the astronomical origin of the Hallstatt oscillation found in radiocarbon and climate records throughout the Holocene [53]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Milani, Franco, Bianchini, Antonio & Ortolani, Sergio, Earth Science Reviews, 162, 24
2. High resolution coherence analysis between planetary and climate oscillations [20]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Advances in Space Research, 57, 2121

2015

1. Spectral coherence between climate oscillations and the M ≥ 7 earthquake historical worldwide record [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Mazzarella, Adriano, Natural Hazards, 76, 1807
2. The Arctic and Antarctic Sea-Ice Area Index Records versus Measured and Modeled Temperature Data [3]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Mazzarella, Adriano & Gimeno, Luis, Advances in Meteorology, 2015, 481834

2014

1. The complex planetary synchronization structure of the solar system [29]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 2, 1
2. Multi-scale dynamical analysis (MSDA) of sea level records versus PDO, AMO, and NAO indexes [65]
   Scafetta, N., Climate Dynamics, 43, 175
3. Global temperatures and sunspot numbers. Are they related? Yes, but non linearly. A reply to Gil-Alana et al. (2014) [15]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 413, 329
4. Comment on "Tiny warming of residual anthropogenic CO₂" [0]
   Scafetta, Nicola, International Journal of Modern Physics B, 28, 1475001
5. Discussion on the spectral coherence between planetary, solar and climate oscillations: a reply to some critiques [40]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Astrophysics and Space Science, 354, 275
6. ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite validation versus TSI proxy models [47]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Astrophysics and Space Science, 350, 421

2013

1. Multiscale comparative spectral analysis of satellite total solar irradiance measurements from 2003 to 2013 reveals a planetary modulation of solar activity and its nonlinear dependence on the 11 yr solar cycle [17]
   Scafetta, N. & Willson, R. C., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 123
2. Reply to Benestad's comment on "Discussions on common errors in analyzing sea level accelerations, solar trends and global warming" by Scafetta (2013) [1]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 105
3. Discussion on common errors in analyzing sea level accelerations, solar trends and global warming [16]
   Scafetta, N., Pattern Recognition in Physics, 1, 37
4. Comment on “The influence of planetary attractions on the solar tachocline” by Callebaut, de Jager and Duhau [14]
   Scafetta, N., Humlum, O., Solheim, J.-E. & Stordahl, K., Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 102, 368
5. Empirical evidences for a planetary modulation of total solar irradiance and the TSI signature of the 1.09-year Earth-Jupiter conjunction cycle [24]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Astrophysics and Space Science, 348, 25
6. Solar and Planetary Oscillation Control on Climate Change: Hind-Cast, Forecast and a Comparison with the Cmip5 Gcms [14]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Energy and Environment, 24, 455
7. Discussion on climate oscillations: CMIP5 general circulation models versus a semi-empirical harmonic model based on astronomical cycles [58]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Earth Science Reviews, 126, 321
8. Planetary harmonics in the historical Hungarian aurora record (1523-1960) [33]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Planetary and Space Science, 78, 38

2012

1. Does the Sun work as a nuclear fusion amplifier of planetary tidal forcing? A proposal for a physical mechanism based on the mass-luminosity relation [65]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 81, 27
2. Multi-scale harmonic model for solar and climate cyclical variation throughout the Holocene based on Jupiter-Saturn tidal frequencies plus the 11-year solar dynamo cycle [83]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 80, 296
3. Testing an astronomically based decadal-scale empirical harmonic climate model versus the IPCC (2007) general circulation climate models [52]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 80, 124
4. A shared frequency set between the historical mid-latitude aurora records and the global surface temperature [52]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 74, 145

2011

1. Understanding the complexity of the Lévy-walk nature of human mobility with a multi-scale cost/benefit model [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Chaos, 21, 043106

2010

1. Comment on ``Testing Hypotheses about Sun-Climate Complexity Linking'' [10]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 105, 219801
2. Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications [144]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72, 951

2009

1. Interpretations of climate-change data [2]
   Scafetta, Nicola, West, Bruce J., Jordan, Benjamin R., Duffy, Philip, Santer, Benjamin & Wigley, Tom, Physics Today, 62, 8
2. Empirical analysis of the solar contribution to global mean air surface temperature change [54]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 71, 1916
3. ACRIM-gap and TSI trend issue resolved using a surface magnetic flux TSI proxy model [49]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Willson, Richard C., Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L05701
4. Understanding the complexity of human gait dynamics [36]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Marchi, Damiano & West, Bruce J., Chaos, 19, 026108

2008

1. Is climate sensitive to solar variability? [31]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physics Today, 61, 50
2. Comment on ``Heat capacity, time constant, and sensitivity of Earth's climate system'' by S. E. Schwartz [15]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 113, D15104

2007

1. Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600 [46]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres), 112, D24S03
2. Emergence of bi-fractal time series from noise via allometric filters [0]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., EPL (Europhysics Letters), 79, 30003
3. Probability distributions in conservative energy exchange models of multiple interacting agents [5]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Journal of Physics Condensed Matter, 19, 065138
4. Fractal response of physiological signals to stress conditions, environmental changes, and neurodegenerative diseases [14]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Moon, Richard E. & West, Bruce J., Complexity, 12, 12

2006

1. Phenomenological solar signature in 400 years of reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperature record [27]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L17718
2. Reply to comment by J. L. Lean on ``Estimated solar contribution to the global surface warming using the ACRIM TSI satellite composite'' [5]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L15702
3. Phenomenological solar contribution to the 1900-2000 global surface warming [53]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L05708
4. Correlation regimes in fluctuations of fatigue crack growth [2]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Ray, Asok & West, Bruce J., Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 359, 1

2005

1. Estimated solar contribution to the global surface warming using the ACRIM TSI satellite composite [51]
   Scafetta, N. & West, B. J., Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L18713
2. Multiscaling comparative analysis of time series and geophysical phenomena [16]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Complexity, 10, 51

2004

1. An intensity-expansion method to treat non-stationary time series: an application to the distance between prime numbers [7]
   Scafetta, N., Imholt, T., Roberts, J. A. & West, B. J., Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 20, 119
2. An out-of-equilibrium model of the distributions of wealth [25]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Picozzi, Sergio & West, Bruce J., Quantitative Finance, 4, 353
3. A trade-investment model for distribution of wealth [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Picozzi, Sergio & West, Bruce J., Physica D Nonlinear Phenomena, 193, 338
4. Multiscaling Comparative Analysis of Time Series and a Discussion on ``Earthquake Conversations'' in California [55]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 92, 138501
5. Solar turbulence in earth's global and regional temperature anomalies [35]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Grigolini, Paolo, Imholt, Timothy, Roberts, Jim & West, Bruce J., Physical Review E, 69, 026303
6. Multiresolution diffusion entropy analysis of time series: an application to births to teenagers in Texas [3]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Chaos Solitons and Fractals, 20, 179

2003

1. Hölder exponent spectra for human gait [41]
   Scafetta, N., Griffin, L. & West, B. J., Physica A Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 328, 561
2. Solar Flare Intermittency and the Earth's Temperature Anomalies [55]
   Scafetta, Nicola & West, Bruce J., Physical Review Letters, 90, 248701

2002

1. Scaling detection in time series: Diffusion entropy analysis [116]
   Scafetta, Nicola & Grigolini, Paolo, Physical Review E, 66, 036130
2. Lévy scaling: The diffusion entropy analysis applied to DNA sequences [49]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Latora, Vito & Grigolini, Paolo, Physical Review E, 66, 031906
3. Lévy statistics in coding and non-coding nucleotide sequences [25]
   Scafetta, Nicola, Latora, Vito & Grigolini, Paolo, Physics Letters A, 299, 565